This Implied Probability Calculator converts American odds into implied probability. This calculation converts the odds into a form that is easier to quantify: percent likelihood of the event occurring. This type of calculator includes the sportsbooks margin, which means it isn't the exact likelyhood.
Implied Probability
Enter the American odd in the space provided and hit calculate to get the percent value.
How the Implied Probability Calculator works
Implied probability is most useful when determining the sportsbook's edge over the bettor. It is important to note: this is not the margin/vig/juice. This is simply the advantage they have in being profitable over the bettor. Though it will never tell you which team to select, determining the percent implied probability over 100% will point out lines where the book's advantage is lower. In being a successful sports betting every percentage point counts, and each point the book gives back is one more win toward profitability for the bettor.
The sports betting odds calculator allows you to convert betting odds across American and Decimal odds. The odds calculator will also tell you the equivalent implied probability of winning as well as return and profit given a bet amount. Fields with a yellow background are editable. The system works that while winning you place a normal bet, but when you lose a bet, the next bet should be increased to recover your loss and get your fund back to the previous highest balance. Our Martingale calculator is one of the bunch betting tools we created for our users. It works in that exact same way by showing you the best betting.
Our hedging calculator and arbitrage bet calculator allow you to insert decimal odds or American odds, as we know that some arbitrage bettors prefer to use decimal odds when calculating a bet.
Implied Probability Calculation for Negative American Odds
Calculating implied probability is a little more complex for American odds. Let's take the classic coin flipping example where we know the actual probability is 50%: a -110 bet on Heads. Once again, the calculation is slightly different for for minus odds versus plus odds.
Implied Probability = (-1*(Odds)) / (-1(Odds) + 100)
Which looks like:
Implied Probability = (-1*(-110)) / (-1(-110) + 100)
or:
52.4% or 0.524 = 110 / 210
That number should be familiar to experienced bettors as the break even winning percentage bettors shoot for. Because -110 on one side of a bet usually means -110 on the other side too, we can add all the probabilities (in this case another -110 probability) to determine the sportsbook's edge.
(Heads Probability + Tails Probability) – 1 = Sportsbook's Edge
or:
(0.524 + 0.524) – 1 = 0.048 or 4.8%
Ideally you should be looking for bets with the lowest sportsbook edge you can. It is a subtle edge in sports betting, but remember the difference between winning at 52% and 53% is a world of difference.
Implied Probability Calculation for Positive American Odds
Let's work a positive odds example. We'll use the following moneyline bet where the favorite is -190 and the underdog is +160. First we break down the implied probability on +160 odds :
Implied Probability = 100 / (Odds + 100)
or:
38.4% or 0.384 = 100 / (160 + 100)
To get the other outcome, we calculate the -190 odds:
65.5% or 0.655 = (-1(-190)) / (-1(-190) + 100)
In the above example we see that the sportsbook's advantage is:
(0.384 + 0.655) – 1 = 3.9%
What this tells us is that with no other information a bet on the -190/+160 is more likely to be successful over the long term than the -110/-110 example.
Implied probability is most useful when determining the sportsbook's edge over the bettor. It is important to note: this is not the margin/vig/juice. This is simply the advantage they have in being profitable over the bettor. Though it will never tell you which team to select, determining the percent implied probability over 100% will point out lines where the book's advantage is lower. In being a successful sports betting every percentage point counts, and each point the book gives back is one more win toward profitability for the bettor.
The sports betting odds calculator allows you to convert betting odds across American and Decimal odds. The odds calculator will also tell you the equivalent implied probability of winning as well as return and profit given a bet amount. Fields with a yellow background are editable. The system works that while winning you place a normal bet, but when you lose a bet, the next bet should be increased to recover your loss and get your fund back to the previous highest balance. Our Martingale calculator is one of the bunch betting tools we created for our users. It works in that exact same way by showing you the best betting.
Our hedging calculator and arbitrage bet calculator allow you to insert decimal odds or American odds, as we know that some arbitrage bettors prefer to use decimal odds when calculating a bet.
Implied Probability Calculation for Negative American Odds
Calculating implied probability is a little more complex for American odds. Let's take the classic coin flipping example where we know the actual probability is 50%: a -110 bet on Heads. Once again, the calculation is slightly different for for minus odds versus plus odds.
Implied Probability = (-1*(Odds)) / (-1(Odds) + 100)
Which looks like:
Implied Probability = (-1*(-110)) / (-1(-110) + 100)
or:
52.4% or 0.524 = 110 / 210
That number should be familiar to experienced bettors as the break even winning percentage bettors shoot for. Because -110 on one side of a bet usually means -110 on the other side too, we can add all the probabilities (in this case another -110 probability) to determine the sportsbook's edge.
(Heads Probability + Tails Probability) – 1 = Sportsbook's Edge
or:
(0.524 + 0.524) – 1 = 0.048 or 4.8%
Ideally you should be looking for bets with the lowest sportsbook edge you can. It is a subtle edge in sports betting, but remember the difference between winning at 52% and 53% is a world of difference.
Implied Probability Calculation for Positive American Odds
Let's work a positive odds example. We'll use the following moneyline bet where the favorite is -190 and the underdog is +160. First we break down the implied probability on +160 odds :
Implied Probability = 100 / (Odds + 100)
or:
38.4% or 0.384 = 100 / (160 + 100)
To get the other outcome, we calculate the -190 odds:
65.5% or 0.655 = (-1(-190)) / (-1(-190) + 100)
In the above example we see that the sportsbook's advantage is:
(0.384 + 0.655) – 1 = 3.9%
What this tells us is that with no other information a bet on the -190/+160 is more likely to be successful over the long term than the -110/-110 example.
Spread betting size calculator — a free tool that lets you calculate the size of the bet in pounds per point to manage your risks accurately. Spread bet size does not depend on the currency pair you trade or even your account currency, so it is pretty straightforward. The formula is: bet size = (money risked / stop-loss amount).
Please do not confuse this calculator for spread betting position size with spot Forex position size calculator.
You can set the risk as percentage of your account or as some specific amount of money. You can just fill the small form below and press the 'Calculate' button:
Gambling Spread Calculator Vs
This calculator can work with any trading instrument offered by your spread betting broker. Make sure you are entering correct stop-loss amount in your broker's points. The calculator form uses pounds, but the results are accurate even if your account currency is not in GBP for some reason.
It is very important to know the amount you are risking before engaging into a trade. It is the only way to follow a money management strategy. It is a good routine to perform before placing your bets. Professional traders always control the amount they might lose in a given spread betting position.
You can discuss this calculator and offer your ideas in a dedicated forum topic about it.
Gambling Spread Calculator Formula
You might also find our Fibonacci calculator useful. You can quickly calculate optimum stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the recent trend extrema.
